As I mentioned in the Friday Review video, I did not trade at all last week. Truth be told, I barely looked at the markets; with the exception of that one brief trade for the Challenge Project (with due nods to Anthony Davian on that UNG trade he mentioned in Twitter)
I usually begin these newsletters, and all issues of “Airelon's Market Tactics”, with general introductory comments that applies to the trading week ahead. After this, I usually discuss my “dividend investing” outlook, after which I discuss my “trading” outlook for the next week, concluding with a discussion of portfolio management; as it relates to the Model Portfolio that benchmarks the results of this newsletter.
Last week, we saw that the Federal Reserve raised the rate on an emergency lending 'window'. The Fed Fund Prime Rate remains unchanged. The U.S. Dollar skyrocketed, and then fell back towards it's range of the previous day. What does this all mean for equities? How does it affect my trading outlook? Does this change my previous broad economic outlook?
I discuss this all in this 9 page issue Airelon's Market Tactics ...
I had a busy day away from home, so I was away from the markets. But as I've watched the markets this evening, I wanted to put out another issue this evening, with a couple of trading thoughts ...
Since the inception of “Airelon's Market Tactics”, the “Model Portfolio” that benchmarks the results of this newsletter is up 32.66%. That is the return and the growth of all three sisters as a whole.
I have mentioned in earlier issues, that although a previous newsletter may have contained an edge that was profitable, perhaps even wildly profitable; I will not add those profits to the Model Portfolio by cherry-picking and massaging the data.
I know that I'm supposed to be resting my eyes at the moment from looking at the computer screen. But I did take a brief look at the markets this morning and wanted to put out a brief update issue of "Airelon's Market Tactics" with a couple of points that directly impact both the Model Portfolio, as well as a few markets that I have my "eye" on ... pardon the pun ...
I finished the last newsletter by mentioning that I would release another issue of "Airelon's Market Tactics" this morning. And no, it's not because I wanted to stop writing and watch the Superbowl (Whichever side you were pulling for, it was a great game). I had already written much of that issue of Airelon's Market Tactics on Saturday.
As I discussed in the last issue of "Airelon's Market Tactics", as well as in my "Week in Review" video entry, I believe that we just experienced an unwind within the current carry trade (notice that I did not say 'the' unwind).
Uhhh ... ok ... what just happened? The DOW sank 268 points. Commodities fell through the floor. The U.S. Dollar is soaring. Why is this happening? What is next? Well, when it comes to 'what is next', I hope everyone remembers my typical response when I am asked what I think the market will do next ...
"I don't know, and I don't care"
I just wanted to send out a brief note here folks. I wanted to keep my subscribers informed, as market events have changed quickly enough so that my outlook has sort of 'flipped' since I wrote Sunday's newsletter. Much will depend on the markets reaction to the number at these levels, 45 minutes after the release.